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Forecasts and Accuracy

Gus stated “Environment Canada has thousands of dollars worth of weather instruments and all I have is a $2.00 pig spleen.  I can compete with them and better their accuracy.”
Gus claimed 80-90% accuracy.

Jeff’s (and Gus‘) spleens are obtained from southwest Saskatchewan for prediction purposes.  The forecast is recommended for a 200 mile radius from where the pig was grown. 


PIG SPLEEN WEATHER PREDICTION 2014



The forecast this year is based on several spleens from the Ear View Hutterite Colony south of Gull Lake, and from some free range pigs from the McCallum Ranch near Eastend. The 2014 winter looks like it will be long and cold however not as bad as last year. It will be colder than average, have more snow than average, and will linger longer than usual. There will once again be several days with rain mixed with snow making for some difficult driving conditions. These rains on frozen roads will lead to icy conditions and highway closures. There will be a significant difference between the weather south of the number one highway towards Eastend and north of the highway. The winter in Eastend and area will be significantly more mild with much less snow, particulately in January and February. Late April and into May will not see allot of precipitation however cold temperatures may delay seeding with opportune times starting after May 18. There is one anomaly in the spleen on May 18 that will be significant. This date and the period between June 16-24 should be highlighted.

January
Winter will start out cold that and will trend this way from Jan 1 to Jan 7. From Jan 8 to about Jan 20, temperatures will start out above average and fall to average on Jan 21 when there will be a day of snow and possible rain. From Jan 20 to the end of January, temperatures will stay average to above average until the end of the month. There will be snow between Jan 9 an Jan 11, in addition to the event on jan 21. After Jan 21, snow will be more general through Feb and March.
February
Warmer temperatures at the end of January will disappear during the first week of February. February will be the start of more regular moisture with snow on Feb 3 and a more significant event on Feb 13. A small warming trend on Feb 10 will be followed by -20 to -25 temps for the middle of the month and a gradual warming towards the end of the month. Feb 27 will see another snow event and temperatures will gradually improve into March. The Groundhog should see his shadow as there will be at least 6 more weeks of winter.
March
The beginning of March be generally cloudy with snow from the first to about March 5. There will be snow or snow /rain on March 8 and March 10. After March 11, winter will be on the decline until March 18 when there is a significant event that will hit the province. From mid March until March 27 , temperatures should be well above average. Another rainfall event will occur between March 27 and April 2. after March 27, temperatures will be below average and the end of the month will be rather cold.
April
April will be unseasonably cold between April 1 and April 7 when temperatures will stabilize. Temperatures will be average from April 7 to April 15 and then will get cold again until April 21. From April 21 to then end of the month will see a warming trend. Precipitation will be on April 1 (carry over from March), April 7 and April 21. Both April 7 and 21 rain events will be at the start of a warming trend.
May
From May 1 to May 18, temperatures will remain close to average with a slight cooling trend between these dates. precipitation on May 18 will mark a rapid warming trend that will last for the rest of the month.
June
June will start off warm and mild through the first half of the month. Starting around June 16, there will be some precipitation and colder than normal temperatures peaking around June 24. This period between June 16 and 24 will see significant rainfall.




video courtesy of Cathy Ruetz